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Breaking the curse of sisyphus: An empirical analysis of post-conflict economic transitions

Cevik, S ; Sharif University of Technology

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  1. Type of Document: Article
  2. DOI: 10.1057/ces.2015.20
  3. Abstract:
  4. This paper provides an empirical analysis of the principal determinants of post-conflict economic transitions during the period 1960-2010 using a dynamic panel estimation approach. In addition to demographic, economic, geographic, and institutional variables, we introduce a novel measure of conflict recurrence risk, estimated with a logistic regression approach controlling for unobserved fixed effects in a non-linear probability model. The empirical results show that the risk of conflict recurrence is a significant determinant of post-conflict economic performance, even after controlling for a broad set of demographic, economic, geographic, and institutional factors
  5. Keywords:
  6. Civil conflict ; Conflict recurrence risk ; Dynamic panel estimation ; Growth ; Institutions
  7. Source: Comparative Economic Studies ; Volume 57, Issue 4 , 2015 , Pages 569-597 ; 08887233 (ISSN)
  8. URL: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/ces.2015.20