Sharif Digital Repository

Long-term electricity load and price forecasts have become critical inputs to energy service provider (ESP) decision makings in restructured environments. This paper presents a three-stage hierarchical approach for long-term electricity load forecasting. These stages are called yearly trend model (YTM), weekly trend model (WTM), and daily trend model (DTM). The first stage fits an appropriate function to data and extracts its yearly trend. The weekly and daily trends are then extracted using the Box-Jenkins method in WTM and DTM, respectively. For doing so, candidate trends are identified using auto correlation function (ACF) and partial auto correlation function (PACF) plots. Then, Akaike... 

Computation of Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) is a challenge in Generation Expansion Planning (GEP) problem. This paper presents a dynamic GEP model considering LOLP as a reliability criterion. The objective function of the proposed dynamic GEP model includes the discounted total costs of investment cost, operation cost, and maintenance cost. The proposed LOLP constrained GEP problem is formulated as a mixed integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) problem. The MINLP formulation of GEP problem is then converted to a mixed integer linear programming (MIP) problem by applying several approximations to LOLP constraint. The utilized approximations are divided into two clusters for low and high... 

Load shedding is a prevalent emergency control designed to prevent system blackouts. The higher complexity and lower predictability of modern power systems makes it difficult to rely on conventional load shedding schemes which shed loads in pre-defined steps without sufficient consideration of the actual system characteristics and the disturbance situations. In case of large disturbances, the power system stability can be improved by optimal load shedding in more effective load buses. Proposed scheme utilizes improved Power Flow Tracing method to determine the amount and location of load drops considering power system constraints. Numerical simulations conducted on IEEE 39 bus standard test... 

Load shedding (LS) is one of the most important protection schemes to prevent system blackout. In the case of largedisturbances, optimal LS in appropriate buses can effectively maintain the system stability. The higher complexity and lowerpredictability of modern power systems with high wind power penetration make it difficult to rely on conventional LS schemes,which shed a fixed, predetermined amount of load regardless of disturbance location. This study presents an intelligent LSscheme based on synchrophasor measurements that are adapted to both disturbance size and power system inertia. Theproposed scheme utilises improved power flow tracing method to determine the amount and location of... 

This paper proposes a simultaneous approach to manage congestion, evaluate congestion cost, and to allocate this cost among consumers in a short-run market model. The proposed method consists of an iterative algorithm to search and apply a sequence of the best feasible bilateral power exchange among the generators that would optimally reduce and completely remove the congestion. The best exchanges are selected using sensitivity analysis and the AC load flow is used to apply the selected exchange on the system. Congestion cost is calculated using the change in generation cost and divided among the overloaded lines regarding the change in power flow of these lines, after applying the selected... 

This paper proposes a methodology for optimal dispatch of bilateral electricity contracts, which may endanger the system voltage stability in light of short-term operational planning of a deregulated power system. In this framework the value that each owner of a transaction is willing to pay will reflect how much the electricity contract is important to be implemented physically. The proposed model dispatches optimally the bilateral transactions regarding the prices offered by owners of bilateral contracts for reactive power and transmission capacity utilization in one hand and, the total operational costs of reactive power resources in the other hand. The model also includes the limits... 

Paralleling power modules is designed to share system loads (stresses) equally to improve system reliability. Due to variations in the parameters in the power converter system, temperature mismatches may occur. These mismatches may lead to unequal life expectancy of individual converters in the total system. It is believed that equalizing the operating temperature of the semiconductor devices may improve total system reliability. In this paper a new thermal-based load-sharing scheme for parallel converters is proposed. In this scheme, the load current is redistributed among parallel converters based on the temperature of the converters. The main goal is to minimize the relative temperature... 

Under voltage load shedding is one of the most important tools to avoid voltage instability. In this paper an optimal load shedding algorithm is developed. This approach is based on the concept of the static voltage stability margin and its sensitivity value at the maximum loading point or the collapse point. The traditional load shedding objective is extended to incorporate both technical and economical effects of load shedding. The voltage stability criterion is modeled as a soft constraint into load shedding scheme. The proposed methodology is implemented over the IEEE14 bus system and solved using a mathematical (GAMS/CONOPT) and two heuristic (P.S.O & GA) methods. © 2006 IEEE  

Increase in the number of non-linear loads has increased harmonic pollution in industries, resulting in lower power factor and more losses. Harmonics may also lead to adverse conditions in cases they match a resonance frequency existing in the system. To alleviate the problems of harmonics, tuned harmonic filters are used. However, design and installation of passive elements in power systems or industries requires special attentions due to the possible resonances that may occur. In this paper, a Tire-Rubber company is analyzed for a filter installation. Harmonic analysis is performed, and site measurements are examined. Cautions to be taken for design consideration are then discussed  

The past few years have witnessed a growing rate of attraction in adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques to solve different engineering problems. Besides, Short Term Electrical Load Forecasting (STLF) is one of the important concerns of power systems and accurate load forecasting is vital for managing supply and demand of electricity. This study estimates short term electricity loads of Iran by means of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Genetic Algorithm (GA) which are the most successful AI techniques in this field. In order to improve forecasting accuracy, all AI techniques are equipped with preprocessing concept, and effects... 

Despite the economic and environmental advantages of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), the increased utilization of PHEVs brings up new concerns for power distribution system decision makers. Impacts of PHEVs on distribution networks, although have been proven to be noticeable, have not been thoroughly investigated for future years. In this paper, a comprehensive model is proposed to study the PHEV impacts on residential distribution systems. In so doing, PHEV fundamental characteristics, i.e., PHEV battery capacity, PHEV state of charge (SOC), and PHEV energy consumption in daily trips, are accurately modeled. As some of these effective characteristics depend on vehicle owner's... 

Design and development of fault diagnosis schemes (FDS) for electric power distribution systems are major steps in realizing the self-healing function of a smart distribution grid. The application of the FDS in the electric power distribution systems is mainly aimed at precise detecting and locating of the deteriorated components, thereby enhancing the quality and reliability of the electric power delivered to the customers. The impacts of two types of the FDS on distribution system reliability are compared and presented in this paper. The first type is a representative of the FDS which diagnoses the deteriorated components after their failing. However, the second type is a representative of... 

In the future smart grids, Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) are seen as an important means of transportation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. One of the main issues regarding to this sort of vehicles is managing their charging time to prevent high peak loads over time. Deploying advanced metering and automatic chargers can be a practical way not only for the vehicle owners to manage their energy consumption, but also for the utilities to manage the electricity load during the day by shifting the charging loads to the off-peak periods. Additionally, an efficient charging schedule can reduce the users' electricity bill cost. In this paper we propose a new practical demand response... 

Due to the important role that distribution systems play in quality of power delivered to the customers, there has always been a great deal of interest in investigating different methods of efficiency enhancement for these networks. Two of these methods are Feeder Reconfiguration (FR) and Capacitor Allocation (CA); both have been widely employed to reduce losses and improve several other operational characteristics in electrical power distribution systems. As in FR process the topology of the network changes, it is necessary to change some previous settings; for instance: the capacity of capacitor banks in service in each bus, after each reconfiguration process. This is due to the fact that... 

With the expansion of electricity networks, increasing operational complexities, improved knowledge of the system operators, all with the subsidies elimination in some countries such as Iran and experiencing the real price of electricity by then, it necessitates a more reliable power to be delivered to the system customers. Power system automation is regarded as an efficient solution and the effective key to this problem. However, the great number of substations in power distribution systems has led to the fact that it is neither feasible nor economic to automate all of them. This calls for a comprehensive scheme on the placement of the distribution substations to be automated. In this... 

Design and development of fault diagnosis schemes (FDS) for electric power distribution systems are major steps in realizing the self-healing function of a smart distribution grid. The application of the FDS in the electric power distribution systems is mainly aimed at precise detecting and locating of the deteriorated components, thereby enhancing the quality and reliability of the electric power delivered to the customers. The impacts of two types of the FDS on distribution system reliability are compared and presented in this paper. The first type is a representative of the FDS which diagnoses the deteriorated components after their failing. However, the second type is a representative of... 

The aim of this two-part paper is to present a comprehensive reliability-centerd maintenance framework tailored to power distribution systems. The first paper discusses the fundamental concepts, presents the developed algorithm, and introduces the required mathematical formulations. This second paper is focused on the application of the proposed methodology on a real distribution system. Considerable effort is devoted to examine the proposed method in a step-by-step manner to clarify the implementation procedure. The required data for the procedure are taken from available references and follow reasonable technical assumptions. Practical aspects are incorporated, and the results obtained are... 

The main focus of this study is on reserve market settlement in an electricity market with marginal pricing scheme as the pricing mechanism. Following a day-ahead market clearing, the marginal prices are found using the appropriate Lagrange multipliers as the bi-products of the optimisation process. The payments to energy and reserve providers can then be found based on these prices. However, it is hard to find an appropriate settlement scheme that provides the fair and justifiable consumer payments based on marginal pricing scheme considering the actual reserve functions in power systems. In this study, a reserve marginal pricing that is based on a proper reserve marginal price definition...